While everybody is still talking about yesterday’s Indonesian presidential election (which incumbent President Joko Widodo won — unofficially), vote tallying for the national legislative election has gone somewhat under the radar due to the slower pace of their quick counts. But enough sample votes have been tabulated that we can now start to see what the fate of Indonesia’s various political parties are.
According to numerous quick count surveys, President Jokowi’s PDI-P party is set to do a repeat of 2014 by winning the legislative election with around 20% of the votes. Gerindra, the party of Jokowi’s challenger Prabowo Subianto, pipped Golkar to second place with around 12% of the votes, while Golkar itself took in around 11%.
Seven parties, among them newcomers Perindo, Berkarya, Garuda and PSI, all missed out on the 4% parliamentary threshold, meaning they won’t have representatives in parliament for the next five years.
Here are projected results from quick count surveys from two of the most credible pollsters, which have already collected around 90% of the vote samples as of this morning:
Litbang Kompas
PDI-P 20.21%
Gerindra 12.84%
Golkar 11.7%
PKB 9.38%
PKS 8.56%
NasDem 8.14%
Demokrat 8.07%
PAN 6.59%
PPP 4.65%
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Perindo 2.85%
Berkarya 2.1%
PSI 2.05%
Hanura 1.34%
PBB 0.77%
Garuda 0.53%
PKPI 0.22%
Indo Barometer
PDI-P 19.49%
Gerindra 13.37%
Golkar 11.64%
PKS 9.66%
PKB 8.97%
NasDem 7.84%
Demokrat 7.63%
PAN 6.83%
PPP 4.4%
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Perindo 2.67%
Berkarya 2.12%
PSI 2.07%
Hanura 1.64%
PBB 0.84%
Garuda 0.57%
PKPI 0.27%
Should the quick count results be in line with the official tally, set to be released by the General Election Commission (KPU) on or before May 22, then there will be few changes to the make up of parliament compared to 2014. The most notable change would be the reduction of parties in parliament from 10 to nine, as Hanura, the party of Jokowi’s senior minister Wiranto, failed to meet the threshold this year.
In terms of coalitions, five of the nine parties form the government coalition, amounting to around 53.5% of the total votes while the opposition obtained around 35.5%, which should point to a comfortable majority for the government in the House of Parliament (DPR).
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