COVID-19 outbreak in Indonesia expected to peak during Ramadan fasting month: State Intelligence Agency

Indonesia’s State Intelligence Agency (BIN) has predicted that the peak period of the novel coronavirus outbreak in Indonesia will fall during the month of Ramadan, the Islamic month of fasting.

The peak is predicted to last from the 60th to the 80th day since the first cases of COVID-19 were confirmed in Indonesia on March 2.

“So, if we calculate it, the peak period might fall in May, based on this model. Right during the fasting month,” Afini Boer, the 5th Deputy of BIN, said in a discussion today, as quoted by Media Indonesia.

This year’s Ramadan is predicted to start on April 23 and ending on May 23.

Afini said the peak of the coronavirus spread in China is not expected to match that of China ⁠— the epicenter of the global pandemic ⁠— which lasted for 60 days.

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As of March 13, 69 people have tested positive for COVID-19 in Indonesia, with four of them succumbing to the disease and five making full recoveries.